Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.947868 5.705648 6.538705 7.522230 8.651545 9.907623 11.410773
2024-12-22 3.820648 4.790913 5.947220 7.426041 9.266808 11.482745 14.353863
2024-12-29 3.283932 4.431054 5.897954 7.909543 10.595695 14.059264 18.867117
2025-01-05 2.820977 4.065847 5.761796 8.237760 11.758737 16.586292 23.713016
2025-01-12 2.381836 3.645471 5.469068 8.287323 12.530549 18.681150 28.281272
2025-01-19 1.926586 3.116731 4.927895 7.877528 12.557851 19.697304 31.424958
2025-01-26 1.733540 2.950177 4.893598 8.213645 13.739727 22.569975 37.764581
2025-02-02 1.618646 2.886878 5.005543 8.788442 15.368882 26.343506 46.053071
2025-02-09 1.456637 2.715268 4.908455 8.990566 16.391928 29.241177 53.261496
2025-02-16 1.306288 2.538660 4.773183 9.098303 17.252123 31.951947 60.486575
2025-02-23 1.133295 2.291937 4.474013 8.858335 17.436635 33.467062 65.719712
2025-03-02 0.971044 2.039985 4.127397 8.473701 17.284223 34.321281 69.788375
2025-03-09 0.884269 1.930020 4.047705 8.617413 18.215214 37.420312 78.787292
2025-03-16 0.775211 1.756624 3.816103 8.418568 18.426694 39.133982 85.248158
2025-03-23 0.740487 1.738494 3.904491 8.907733 20.149628 44.154532 99.317324
2025-03-30 0.695395 1.689895 3.920039 9.239568 21.578099 48.742104 113.092429
2025-04-06 0.633192 1.591537 3.810449 9.271955 22.339100 51.977678 124.304136
2025-04-13 0.545901 1.418735 3.504614 8.800511 21.865869 52.385164 129.072370
2025-04-20 0.519672 1.393497 3.544514 9.166709 23.440320 57.710869 146.209194
2025-04-27 0.509720 1.408466 3.684542 9.801484 25.763193 65.107671 169.398256
2025-05-04 0.478544 1.362250 3.664055 10.022922 27.072427 70.204440 187.524228
2025-05-11 0.445348 1.305201 3.607306 10.140564 28.128165 74.801885 204.992444
2025-05-18 0.399032 1.203787 3.418011 9.872082 28.115032 76.655893 215.474855